The Internet,
while still in its infancy, has created borderless economies,
that are confusing the issues of power and control, and even the
sovereignty of nations. We are now entering into a new era of
public power and control. The true power that is beginning to
emerge is Technocratic, meaning that we are beginning to reorganize
the world around the technical imperatives of global competitiveness
and economic efficiencies.
The nation-state
has only been around for roughly 350 years. It is ludicrous for
us to think that it will still be around 1,000 years from now.
So if it is going to change, how is it going to change, and when
is it going to change?
The surge
in interest in online communities has given rise to unique groupings
of people based on cross-cultural commonalities. The strength
of many of these commonalities often transcends present loyalties
to country or nationality. In short, the driving force of money
will, in many people's minds, force the issues of culture and
heritage to take a back seat.
Emerging forces
in globalism has given rise to the notion of creating Virtual
Countries, countries without land and without borders. Citizens
of Virtual Countries will live in existing land-based countries;
abide by their laws; and, at the same time, hold two or more citizenships.
On the following
pages we will look at how new countries are born, the evolutionary
forces that have created our present nation-state, and some possible
scenarios that may create the next Copernican Shift in the global
political arena.
What exactly is a country?
The dictionary
definition of a nation is "A part, or division, of the people
of the earth, distinguished from the rest by common descent, language,
or institutions; a race; a stock."
Law professor,
Pastor Ridruejo, defines a nation as an entity with a government
that totally controls a stable population in a delimited territory.
In the past
we have associated the concept of country with attributes such
as a single geographical territory, a common people with a common
language, a common government with its own currency and its own
set of laws and regulations, and a series of systems that tie
the country into a functional entity.
Not all nations
have their own land. Throughout history there are many examples
of people in exile or nationalities with a strong heritage and
a differentiated culture that exist as a people within one or
several countries.
The concept
of a virtual country brings into questions some of the traditional
notions about what creates the cohesion or loyalty within a group
of people.
Today's Nation-State
Countries
today are described as nation-states. The concept of a nation-state
took root in the little remembered Treaty of Westphalia that was
signed in 1648 AD. The Treaty of Westphalia sorted out some of
the land issues in Europe and opened the doors to religious freedom
by creating some separation between church and state. But a very
significant part of this Treaty involved the recognition of one
country's ability to sign a treaty with another country. This
became the operational ground rule for all major countries - self
defined relationships with other countries.
Traditionally,
governments that operate as a nation-state provide a protective
bubble over their people, giving them systems and structures within
their borders to live and operate businesses by. But several forces
are beginning to complicate governmental control over their own
citizens.
How Are New Counties Born?
A sovereign
Nation can emerge in the international society in many different
ways. The most common ways are:
1. Dismantling
an existing nation, like Bangladesh in 1971, segregated from
Pakistan.
2.
Splitting an existing nation in two, like Germany after
World War II, divided in Federal Republic of Germany and Democratic
Republic of Germany.
3. Fusion
of various nations into one, like Italy in 1860.
4. De-colonization
- either through peaceful or violent means - like on the American
continent at the end of the 18th Century, and on the Asian and
African continents during the second half of the 20th century.
Recognition
Once a new
country emerges, the issue of recognition comes into play. Recognition
is a primary factor in an emerging country's credibility and often
determines the stability of the new government and the role the
country will play in the international arena. There are two primary
forms of recognition:
1. Internal
- Recognition by the people living inside that country.
2. External - Recognition by other countries, or people
or organizations outside the country.
The Institute
of international law stated in its Brussels session in 1936:
"Recognition
of a new Nation is a free decision by which one or several Nations
corroborate the existence on a DETERMINED TERRITORY of a human
society, POLITICALLY ORGANIZED, INDEPENDENT of any other nation,
capable of complying with International Law, and their decision
is made public, recognizing the new Nation as a member of the
International Community".
Some European
nations have taken the step of formalizing recognition standards,
stating that any new nations must satisfy certain legal requirements.
On Dec 16, 1991, the Foreign Affairs ministers of the European
Union decided to adopt a set of criteria that new member states
emerging from the old Eastern Europe and Soviet Union must satisfy
in order to become officially recognized. The criteria includes
the following four items:
a) Respect
all points of the Charter of the UN, Helsinki Summit Final Act
and Charter of Paris for a New Europe.
b) Guarantee
rights for minorities and other groups as per the agreements
of the CSCE (Conference for Security and Co-operation in Europe)
c) Respect
the unchangeable nature of national borders that can only be
changed peacefully through common agreement.
d) Commitment
in reaching common agreements on all matters related to State
succession and regional controversies.
The Principle
of Self-Determination
At the end
of WW1, USA President Woodrow Wilson promoted the concept of "self-determination",
a powerful idea in the 19th century, particularly for Europe.
The message from President Wilson on Jan 8, 1918 stated:
"
every
peace-loving nation which, like our own, wishes to live its
own life, determine its own institutions, be assured of justice
and fair dealing by the other peoples of the world as against
force and selfish aggression. All the peoples of the world are
in effect partners in this interest, and for our own part we
see very clearly that unless justice be done to others it will
not be done to us."
Wilson's efforts
led to the formation of the League of Nations, the forerunner
to our present United Nations. Although it did not formally recognize
the principle of self-determination, it did promote the concept,
going so far as to introduce a new legal framework for allowing
colonies to determine their own fate.
Later, in
the United Nations Charter, the acquisition of territory by force
is prohibited, soas to ensure that existing right of self-determination
will not be extinguished by military conquest.
"the
principle of equal rights and self-determination of peoples'
is said to be the basis for 'the creation of conditions of stability
and well-being which are necessary for peaceful and friendly
relations among nations".
But the Charter
also emphasizes the principles of territorial integrity and of
non-interference in the internal affairs of member states, provisions
that may have encouraged leaders to think that self-determination
would be applied only to colonial dependencies. The incompatibility
between the principles of self-determination and territorial integrity
was overlooked, and both were reemphasized in the Declaration
on the Granting of Independence to Colonial Countries and Peoples.
Modern International
Law grants a basic right to people, its own survival as a social
group. "All peoples have the right of self-determination.
By virtue of that right they freely determine their political
status and freely pursue their economic, social and cultural development."
The Forces
of Global Change
At this point,
the strength of technology's influence on global politics is still
unknown. Some of the key deciding influences will be:
Unregulated
Transportation. Technology has begun to outdate the old
systems used by governments to monitor and control activities
of their citizens. When people were first able to communicate,
without restriction, across country borders, governments began
to loose control of commerce. When people are able to travel,
without restriction, across national borders, traditional governments
will lose control of their captive citizens. This is an impending
eventuality. As we begin to open the doors of technology to
private air cars and space tourism, restricting people to the
confines of their own country's borders will no longer make
sense. Geographical territory will diminish as a determining
factor in deciding citizenship.
The "Peeling
Apart" Process. It is our belief that we will begin
to see a "peeling apart" of the Law of the Land and
the Law of the People. People are the mobile entities that will
travel freely around the globe and from planet to planet. They
will require a very different kind of governance than what we
have today. Traditional governments will become entities serving
as landlords, responsible for handling territorial issues, property
rights, and providers of emergency services.
Another
way to view this separation in government is by looking at tax
revenue streams. A government that controls the land will be
funded with property taxes and other types of tax generated
from the land. A government that controls the people will be
funded through income taxes and other types of tax levied on
the individual.
Degrees
of Loyalty. The degree of loyalty that people will form
with the various online communities. As an example, it is still
unknown as to whether or not people will feel a greater affinity
towards an online community centered around artistic freedom
or to their own Norwegian heritage.
Future
Technology. New technologies will enable the governance
of people as they travel through the Universe. This governance
will insure the rights of individuals and their business enterprises,
and the protection against illegal actions and natural disasters.
What is
a Virtual Country?
Probably the
simplest definition of a virtual country is a country without
land and without borders. The country, or land, on which members
of a Virtual Country reside will be referred to as a host country.
Throughout
history we have had many examples of displaced people without
a land of their own. In December 2000, the United Nations High
Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) reported a caseload of 22.3
million refugees and displaced people resulting from fighting
in some of the most difficult and dangerous places on earth. The
UNHCR also estimates that some 25 million ethnic Russians are
currently living outside the borders of the Russian Federation.
The idea of
people without a country is not new. However the concept of giving
these people legitimacy to permanently exist outside of their
former government is a new concept.
Possible Scenarios
Since the
evolution of earth politics is never linear, we have developed
some possible scenarios that may foster the development of virtual
countries.
In each of
the following scenarios, the United Nations will play a critical
role as the legitimizer of the Virtual Country. If the UN itself
initiates the formation of a virtual country, it will have instant
legitimacy.
Listed here
are examples of events that could possibly trigger global changes
in earth politics.
1.) The
UNHCR Scenario - After carefully mapping out all the options,
the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees will establish
a series of virtual countries for administrative purposes. With
over 20 million displaced people roaming around the world trying
to carve out a new existence, the UNHCR will establish a series
of Virtual Countries to give legitimacy to groups of people
that have been driven from their homeland. As an example, a
virtual country called New Bosnia might be established for the
purpose of granting temporary citizenship, handing out passports
and visas, opening bank accounts, granting authority to travel
internationally, and to help unify a people whose lives were
uprooted after the ravages of war in Bosnia.
2.) Immigration
Scenario - Immigration laws have continually evolved over
time. Every country on earth contains people who are not citizens
of their country. People wishing to become citizens of a country
often have to wait many years before the process is complete.
In Germany, as an example, the right to asylum is enshrined
in Germany's constitution. The country commits itself to offering
refuge to people persecuted for political or racial reasons.
One controversial aspect of this law is whether to recognize
those persecuted by non-government groups in their home countries.
And secondly, how to deal with those seeking asylum on the basis
of gender discrimination, as in the situation of women coming
from Afghanistan.
In this scenario the country of Germany, in an effort to preserve
their national heritage will create a Virtual Country, Germany
2, to enroll and govern all people seeking refuge in their country.
Germany 2 will overlay the existing country of Germany, but
will have separate laws governing it. While this may easily
deteriorate into an unintended class system, the creators view
it as a solution to their perceived cultural deterioration.
3.) Open
Enrollment Scenario - The Cayman Islands begin to openly
enroll citizens. If people around the world were given the option
of becoming citizens of the Cayman Islands, while continuing
to live in their existing country, how many would opt to take
advantage of this offer?
The idea
of offering an "open enrollment" by countries to attract
a national following around the globe is not unique. However,
aggressively marketing it is. While the value proposition of
creating this relationship with people living in foreign countries
may be undefined, there are no doubt many who would relish the
opportunity of becoming part of a new country.
Countries
will do this as a way of extending their influence and to attract
revenue streams from outside their borders. Political motivations
will vary greatly.
Individuals will take advantage of this option as a way to opt
out of their present political environment, and to gain new
freedoms and rights.
4.) Corporate
Nation State Scenario - Microsoft declares itself a sovereign
nation. At a point where the antitrust actions against Microsoft
becomes too unreasonable, the company makes a bold move to declare
itself a sovereign nation, setting itself up to be the world's
first corporate nation state. In doing so, they establish themselves
outside of the US rule of law, not subject to the rulings of
the court. Invariably this would take their legal arguments
into a completely different realm as they attempt to set a precedence
through which many other large corporations would follow.
To add legitimacy
to their claim of being a sovereign nation, Microsoft approaches
the United Nations and requests admission. They also form political
alliances with several "friendly" nations.
Microsoft
is a multinational corporation with offices around the world.
Having the corporate headquarters in the US is not a requirement
of the company's existence, and the rule of law governing corporate
activities changes when they declare their independence. The
headquarters could be moved to an island in the Pacific, or
on to a ship, or even into a satellite in space for that matter.
Even the location of corporate executives is a separate matter
from the rule of law governing the company.
When it
comes to money, Microsoft already has its own form of currency
- Microsoft stock. They could choose to monetize their stock
in a way that could be used for paying salaries to employees
and for making vendor payments. Employees, as an example, may
get 13.8 shares of stock on payday rather than the equivalent
amount in US dollars. International smart cards are already
programmed to instantly convert money from one country's currency
into another, such as Japanese yen into German marks. With a
little effort, Microsoft could design a new breed of smart card
that would instantly convert their stock into spendable dollars.
So employees, living in any part of the world, could make purchases
at their local grocery stores.
5.) Tax-Free
Government Scenario. Throughout history, the most contentious
issue between governments and their citizens is taxes. The "take
away" process of extracting taxes from individuals is seldom
deemed fair, and the extraordinary efforts taken to make the
implementation of taxes fair to everyone has evolved into a
system so complicated that it absorbs a huge percentage of a
country's intellectual bandwidth.
In conceptual terms, a tax-less government is one that operates
on the principal of "parallel prosperity". In this
context, a government creates an operational fund by self-generating
it's own revenue streams based on a small percentage of GNP,
somewhere in the range of 3%. As an example, a small country
with a GNP of $1 billion would self-generate operational funds
of $30 million. Any other money needed to run the government
would be levied in the form of fees-for-service.
Monetary
supplies are never static. The fine art of making new money
appear before your eyes is not just some magician's trick. It's
a legitimate way of managing a country's monetary supply, and
is steeped in rich governmental tradition. All countries have
devised methods for printing money from thin air. While this
process is typically cloaked in some politically approved framework
to give it legitimacy and authenticity, the fact remains that
this is not a new concept.
Economics
is a complicated science. We know what works and what doesn't
based on a long history of trial and error. Self-generated monetary
supplies that are used to fuel a government will effectively
set the stage for a continually expanding economy, which may
or may not be the best approach in the future. But neither is
the "take away" system of taxation that we presently
have in place.
National
Security Issues
Governments
do not like the idea of having citizens under someone else's control
in their own territory. This creates the potential for developing
an enemy army within the confines of it's own territory, with
the potential for disrupting domestic peace and tranquility.
However, all
nations have "outsiders" existing within the confines
of their own borders. Whether or not the person is a citizen of
a virtual country is of little consequence to the host nation
provided the person abides by all the laws and pays all the necessary
taxes.
But one of
the big attractions of joining a virtual country will be the ability
to operate outside of the bounds of your existing country. The
idea of being able to say "these laws don't apply to me"
is a huge incentive for some people. And that is where the security
issues become a massive concern. Forcing an equitable rule of
law among all people in a country is one of the founding principles
of democracy.
For this reason,
virtual countries will, by necessity, have to guarantee non-interference
in the laws of the host nation. They will also have to guarantee
that all of their citizens will abide by the laws, and be subject
to any legal or judicial system serving to enforce compliance.
Dual Citizenship
The concept
of dual citizenship means that a person is a citizen of two countries
at the same time.
In general,
countries define citizenship based on a person's descent, place
of birth, marriage, and/or naturalization. The exact details will,
not surprisingly, depend on the laws of the country in question.
Automatic citizenship via marriage is rare nowadays; more commonly,
marriage may allow one spouse a "fast track" to immigration
to the other spouse's country, but a period of non-citizen permanent
residence will still be required before the immigrant spouse can
obtain a new citizenship via naturalization.
Since there
can be several ways to acquire a given country's citizenship,
it is possible for someone to be considered a citizen under the
laws of two, or more, countries at the same time.
Countries
usually frame their citizenship laws with little or no regard
for the citizenship laws of other countries. Sometimes a country
may seek to restrict dual citizenship by requiring one of its
citizens born with some other citizenship to renounce or give
up the other citizenship upon reaching adulthood. In some cases,
a country will automatically revoke the citizenship of one of
its citizens who acquires another country's citizenship by naturalization.
Where one country requires a citizen to renounce the citizenship
of another country, this renunciation may or may not be recognized
by the other country. This can sometimes lead to sticky legal
situations.
As a general
rule, dual citizens are not entitled to any sort of special treatment
by their two countries of citizenship. Each country will usually
consider the person as if he were a citizen of that country alone.
However, dual citizenship can have distinct advantages. In particular,
a person with dual citizenship has greater flexibility in his
or her choice of where to live and work.
Rich Man Scenario
After thoroughly
researching this topic, we have concluded that a likely scenario
for creating a virtual country will happen with a wealthy person
who owns a small island.
Starting with
an innocent request for recognition from surrounding countries
and from the United Nations, the little island country will gain
prominence through savvy political maneuvering and well-placed
lobbying money.
Once established,
the tiny island country will begin a process of open-enrollment
citizenship, which will be marketed aggressively. Dual citizenship
will allow all new citizens to remain where they are, maintain
their present employment, and not affect their present standing
in their home country. The incentives for joining the new country
will be economic, either freedom from taxation or freedom to create
some business venture outside of their present country.
The island
country will have its own banking system. The banks will be touted
as the most safe and secure in the world. The banks will have
alliances with Swiss, Japanese, and American banks to give customers
the feeling of security.
Utilizing
a first-of-its-kind tax free form of government based on the concept
of "parallel prosperity," the little country gains a
reputation of being a tax haven for wealthy individuals, thereby
attracting an elite constituency. And this constituency will give
the country its much-needed credibility.
Conclusion
The creation
of Virtual Countries will be fraught with many problems. Recognition
of new countries is discretionary and mainly political. New Nation-States
must be recognized implicitly or explicitly by other nation-states.
It is our
conclusion that a new type of country, a Virtual Country, can
evolve out of the global political community, provided the following
requirements are in place:
a.) Bylaws
of the Virtual community cannot grant immunity to its members,
so they must be subject to the law in the countries where they
reside. However, the Virtual Country must retain a certain level
of sovereignty that no other country can violate or cancel.
Treaties will make it plausible for the establishment of a Virtual
Country within one or more host countries.
b.) In order
to guarantee international security and avoid conflicts, an
International Organization, such as the United Nations, must
exercise some controls. The UN could go a step further and create
a framework, such as a Virtual Country Constitution, and a legal
framework around that constitution. Provided all citizens are
"connected", the legal framework could implement some
degree of direct democracy and electronic voting as part of
its creation.
Competing
for citizens is not a concept that will be easily accepted by
existing countries. The United Nations will invariably play
a significant role in the formation of Virtual Countries. But
it will be the "will" of the constituency that will
determine a Virtual Country's viability. Presently, many Internet
users have voiced strong opinions against any kind of regulated
environment, so any proposal for a new form of government will
need to be well conceived and very attractive to prospective
members.
About the Authors
Thomas
J. Frey is the Executive Director of the DaVinci Institute,
and is an internationally recognized futurist, author, and public
speaker. His specialty is the future of technology and its impact
on business and society.
Juan F "Kiko" Suarez, in the Director of Global
Operation at the DaVinci Institute where his primary responsibility
is to lead the Institute's international activities outside the
United States, mainly in Europe, and Central and South America.
Eduardo Suárez, Attorney at Law, Court Official, Spain.
A special thanks to Eduardo for his essay entitled "Viability
of a Virtual Country"
Contact:
The DaVinci
Institute
Thomas J. Frey, Executive Director
PO Box 270315
Louisville, CO 80027
(303) 666-4133
dr2tom@davinciinstitute.com